Model Estimation Performance Diagnostics

Diagnostics are based on the use of conditioned (monitoring-adjusted) predictions. These predictions provide the most accurate reach predictions for use in calibrating the model. The associated residuals and observed to predicted ratios shown in the following section provide the most relevant measures of the accuracy of the model fit to observed loads.

Conditioned prediction loads vs. unconditioned (simulated) prediction loads

Timestep: winter

Timestep: spring

Timestep: summer

Timestep: fall